The Pensions Regulator (TPR) publishes a statement each year on how it expects trustees to approach current valuations. The latest statement was published in April 2025 and can be found at the link below. This statement is particularly relevant to schemes with valuation dates between 22 September 2024 and 21 September 2025. The key points are summarised below.
https://www.thepensionsregulator.gov.uk/en/document-library/statements
Key messages:
Most schemes continue to see positive funding levels. TPR’s estimates as at 31 December 2024 indicate that around 85% of schemes are in surplus on a technical provisions basis, 76% on a low dependency basis (derived by TPR), and 54% on a buyout basis.
TPR expects most schemes to shift their focus from deficit recovery to endgame planning. However, trustees should continue to understand any risks to the scheme’s investment strategy and employer covenant, for example due to increasing trade and geopolitical uncertainty.
TPR estimates that around 80% of schemes should be able to meet the Fast Track parameters under the new funding code.
Undergoing a valuation under the new funding code:
TPR has answered some common queries in the appendices to the statement and in its funding code webinar.
Trustees must work collaboratively with their advisers throughout the process and engage early with advisers and employers.
There is no legal obligation to meet the long-term objective within a set timeframe, though schemes must reach low dependency by their relevant date.
For schemes supported by an employer with high affordability, TPR expects any funding deficit to be addressed quickly, with any additional employer cash flows being used to support risk taking within the scheme’s journey plan.
For schemes supported by an employer with lower affordability, trustees should assess whether taking unsupported investment risk is appropriate, or whether alternative options should be considered.
General considerations:
Employer covenant remains a key element to consider when assessing the level of supportable risk within a scheme’s journey plan, in particular for schemes which are poorly funded, large in comparison to the size of the employer, or taking significant levels of risk.
Trustees should recognise the macroeconomic uncertainty that continues to impact scheme investments and employer covenant, including increased trade and geopolitical uncertainty.
Trustees should ensure that their short term liquidity and cash flow requirements can be met, while also ensuring that their longer term investment strategy remains appropriate.
Robust and effective operational processes should be in place to enhance the resilience of the scheme to market shocks and reduce risks to acceptable levels.
Trustees of schemes using Liability Driven Investment (LDI) should carry out periodic stress tests to evaluate the resilience of their LDI strategy.
Funding position:
As previously, TPR has grouped schemes into three broad categories based on their funding level, and has adapted these groups for the new funding code.
Funding levels at or above low dependency:
o Focus should be on endgame planning.
o If schemes decide to run on, they should weigh the benefits against ongoing risks and ensure suitable monitoring and management strategies are in place.
o Trustees should continue to monitor the employer covenant to ensure it can still support the risks being taken.
Funding levels above technical provisions but below low dependency:
o Focus should be on ensuring the scheme stays on track to achieving low dependency by the relevant date.
Funding level below technical provisions:
o Focus should be on eliminating the deficit. This should be done as quickly as the employer can reasonably afford.
o Technical provisions should be consistent with the scheme’s journey plan to reach low dependency by the relevant date.
o The level of risk taken should reflect both the employer covenant and the maturity of the scheme.